Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.241859 0.258321 0.275701 0.295478 0.317434 0.341149 0.368815
2025-03-16 0.206847 0.230838 0.257908 0.291018 0.330846 0.377770 0.438092
2025-03-23 0.188261 0.217186 0.251542 0.296076 0.353386 0.426307 0.528999
2025-03-30 0.170680 0.201666 0.239876 0.291626 0.361837 0.456970 0.601883
2025-04-06 0.154976 0.186366 0.226174 0.281926 0.360778 0.473225 0.656343
2025-04-13 0.142290 0.173540 0.214078 0.272439 0.357921 0.485344 0.705710
2025-04-20 0.135759 0.168054 0.210964 0.274611 0.371511 0.523416 0.805473
2025-04-27 0.131077 0.164547 0.210047 0.279516 0.389410 0.570778 0.934074
2025-05-04 0.125772 0.159727 0.206775 0.280385 0.400755 0.608715 1.055693
2025-05-11 0.120194 0.154115 0.201866 0.278139 0.406472 0.637322 1.166682
2025-05-18 0.114940 0.148618 0.196694 0.274910 0.409945 0.662084 1.277285
2025-05-25 0.109675 0.142800 0.190638 0.269684 0.409188 0.678280 1.372686
2025-06-01 0.105021 0.137759 0.185631 0.266070 0.411501 0.702423 1.503562
2025-06-08 0.100677 0.132991 0.180806 0.262451 0.413572 0.727007 1.650059
2025-06-15 0.098544 0.131381 0.180739 0.266853 0.431424 0.790413 1.956792
2025-06-22 0.094771 0.127103 0.176195 0.263058 0.432607 0.815333 2.149052
2025-06-29 0.090317 0.121591 0.169387 0.254730 0.423637 0.813696 2.240188
2025-07-06 0.086197 0.116433 0.162907 0.246560 0.414178 0.809293 2.320367
2025-07-13 0.084389 0.114764 0.161999 0.248433 0.426107 0.863470 2.708972
2025-07-20 0.083148 0.113912 0.162364 0.252658 0.443667 0.937949 3.291748
2025-07-27 0.081328 0.112063 0.160959 0.253406 0.453552 0.993359 3.854447
2025-08-03 0.079134 0.109531 0.158268 0.251472 0.457011 1.030352 4.363187
2025-08-10 0.076918 0.106882 0.155253 0.248690 0.458146 1.060502 4.884532